Fortunate-Confectionery
0xeb9b0418ed4f70512d2bab7e98f12364aae062cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$30.79
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$188.56
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.95
$0.65
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
100 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.29
$0.89
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.95
$0.65
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$3.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
100 shares @ 2.8¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.25
$0.45
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?
2737 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-41.72
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
2000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
2000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?
2000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?
2000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$2.20May 24, 09:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$8.87May 23, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$0.15May 23, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$5.97May 23, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$17.00May 23, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$1.07May 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$0.03May 23, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".