Lopsided-Dragonfly-Moai
0xeba1457b0731b6a0ed810a90476390771bed838b
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$40.35
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
2000 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.9K
$-1.00
- NO
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
631 shares @ 85.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$488.70
$-47.96
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
472 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$467.49
$0.47
- YES
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
329 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$317.15
$0.79
- YES
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup?
302 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$299.13
$1.82
- NO
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
295 shares @ 92.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$289.65
$17.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
235 shares @ 97.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$225.64
$-3.87
- YES
Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
151 shares @ 91.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$135.15
$-2.75
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
169 shares @ 68.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$110.61
$-4.22
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
67 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.69
$3.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$9.23Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$4.99Jun 14, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.42Jun 14, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$218.16Jun 14, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$48.56Jun 14, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $60.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.