Excellent-Tomato
0xeba7cd7e39c2a882f18f194050179a25302e85b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-51.7K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
22000 shares @ 10.1¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.7K
$517.00
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 80.8¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.4K
$-25.50
- YES
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
51870 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-599.93
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
40895 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.0K
- YES
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
36907 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-499.98
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
33477 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
31059 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-899.96
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
28853 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-999.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
27474 shares @ 54.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.1K
- YES
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
23657 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.46Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.