Naive-Traditionalism
0xebab84ac6cb78e83c7df668be3984b2eec1ce43d
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.48
Realised
$-4.09
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
70 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.81
- NO
Will Trump say "President Xi" during his AI speech on July 23?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
44 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on July 25?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 16?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $3.10 and $3.20 on September 19?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
8 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?$6.68Nov 5, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?$15.00Oct 26, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.07Oct 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?$2.69Oct 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.50Oct 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.12Oct 21, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?$5.00Oct 21, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$5.07Oct 16, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo visit another country first?$4.62Oct 16, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo visit another country first?$5.00Oct 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 16?$10.00Oct 16, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Oct 16, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Oct 16, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$5.59Oct 16, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSouth Park: Trump x Satan baby is male?$0.46Oct 15, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$6.00Oct 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out in 2025?$2.20Oct 10, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNo one announced as next James Bond?$1.51Oct 10, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$10.00Oct 10, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$1.07Oct 9, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".