Cultivated-Casualty
0xebac743f8d04f6616641465ac57748093497eeca
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$96.15
Total PnL
$-53.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
96 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$96.15
$71.15
- YES
US recession in 2025?
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
221 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$257.76Jul 21, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$25.00Jun 16, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$100.00Jun 16, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMElon out of Trump administration before July?$113.64May 29, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?$0.00May 1, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservatives win between 100-119 seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 1, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on April 9?$0.00May 1, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$208.33May 1, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$220.26May 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 9?$20.00Apr 9, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?$25.00Apr 9, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon out of Trump administration before July?$50.00Apr 9, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservatives win between 100-119 seats in the next Canadian Election?$25.00Apr 5, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?$25.00Apr 5, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$145.07Apr 3, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$183.33Apr 3, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?$0.00Mar 28, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$0.00Mar 15, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$0.00Mar 15, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?$67.32Mar 15, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $61.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.