Livid-Discharge
0xebadb1d0b6e705d9ec4a748d39413db8ff21f22b
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.9K
Realised
$-640.79
Win rate
39%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
16000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-34.74
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?
13500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-169.55
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?
8251 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-394.65
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
6491 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-351.87
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
5400 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-121.34
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?
5000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-37.96
- YES
Will MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get between 76 and 79 million views on week 1?
4418 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
4250 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-281.99
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
4167 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 57m?
4008 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-87.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$1.00Mar 27, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$1.00Mar 27, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$1.00Mar 27, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$1.00Mar 27, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$1.00Mar 27, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.16Mar 27, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.05Mar 27, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.16Mar 27, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.29Mar 27, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.27Mar 27, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.44Mar 27, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.20Mar 27, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.01Mar 27, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.01Mar 27, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.01Mar 27, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.30Mar 27, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.41Mar 27, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.02Mar 27, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.54Mar 27, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$0.01Mar 27, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.