Frank-Ceremony
0xebb4dd6cc419981351b5fa14f2fa817fda5df390
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-38.5K
Realised
$-8.6K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
5650 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.6K
$1.9K
- YES
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
10170 shares @ 89.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-9.1K
- YES
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
10000 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
10000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
7771 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- NO
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
7455 shares @ 77.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.8K
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
5000 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
4500 shares @ 83.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.7K
- NO
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
3850 shares @ 72.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
2589 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.12Apr 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$3.4KApr 3, 01:50 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Apr 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$44.58Apr 2, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$25.24Apr 2, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$6.60Apr 2, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$253.58Apr 2, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$23.40Apr 2, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.3KApr 2, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$180.00Apr 2, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$86.64Apr 2, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$705.02Apr 2, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$46.41Apr 1, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.21Apr 1, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.11Apr 1, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.14Apr 1, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.81Apr 1, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.09Apr 1, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$24.00Apr 1, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.04Apr 1, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $371.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.