Majestic-Repayment
0xebbd38ef063fe907acd9847985d0e09e99d88058
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$9.64
Total PnL
$-6.18
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get 60 million or more views in week 1?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- NO
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 25 be between 95 and 100?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.11
$0.00
- FAZE UP NEXT
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs LEO (BO3) - United21 Group B
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.11
$0.07
- NO
Israeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.11
$-0.02
- YES
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 18?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.08
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 5?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 29-July 5?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- NO
Will event not air?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-0.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs LEO (BO3) - United21 Group B$1.04Jul 4, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 60 million or more views in week 1?$3.35Jul 4, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 60 million or more views in week 1?$4.50Jul 4, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 29-July 5?$3.98Jul 4, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 29-July 5?$5.00Jul 4, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?$4.45Jul 4, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?$5.60Jul 4, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill event not air?$1.00Jul 4, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$1.00Jul 4, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 25 be between 95 and 100?$8.57Jul 4, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 18?$1.03Jul 4, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 25 be between 95 and 100?$9.70Jul 4, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 5?$8.94Jul 4, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$1.09Jul 4, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 5?$10.00Jul 4, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$1.06Jun 30, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.05Jun 25, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 2.3% and 2.6%?$1.12Jun 25, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 29?$1.01May 11, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 28?$1.06May 11, 05:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.