Flickering-Lemonade
0xebc6ff3de841ab5550472e7a1023a10d7610c54b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.15
Total PnL
$-18.8K
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
132 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.57
$0.07
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.58
$0.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
4180 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
4100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2330 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2321 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2310 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.20Mar 30, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.34Mar 30, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.51Mar 30, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.44Mar 30, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.36Mar 30, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.01Mar 30, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.02Mar 30, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on February 6?$1.10Mar 30, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on February 6?$1.00Feb 6, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$1.00Feb 6, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?$1.01Feb 6, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.03Feb 6, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.05Feb 6, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.08Feb 6, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.09Feb 6, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.11Feb 6, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.02Feb 6, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$2.08Feb 6, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Family - Southern Avenue" win Best Contemporary Blues Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$105.00Feb 6, 01:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $176.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 05:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".