Novel-Pony
0xebcfa5941276a6062e088022df3896d58bb34e64
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$21.74
Total PnL
$-6.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
11 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$11.15
$4.35
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$10.59
$7.73
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
35 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-18.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$6.80Aug 1, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$2.86Jul 19, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$13.95Jun 28, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$5.72Jun 15, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 6, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$0.00Jun 6, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG vs. Inter Milan first half result in a draw?$3.64Jun 6, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$4.62Jun 6, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$18.52May 10, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$5.68May 9, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG vs. Inter Milan first half result in a draw?$2.04May 9, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$4.19Apr 30, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$0.00Feb 6, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$16.06Feb 6, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$16.04Jan 30, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$2.84Jan 21, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$26.11Jan 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$25.74Jan 18, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?$0.00Jan 15, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMGOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?$0.00Jan 15, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 20:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 11:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.