Frayed-Honeybee
0xebd329bd151f49e7229376f36daf9b1fd3c1a0c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.96
Total PnL
$-9.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
37 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Deja Foxx win the Democratic Primary for the Arizona's 7th congressional district special election?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will George Simion win by 12–18%?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
1,200+ Measles cases in U.S. before June?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
3 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?$1.00Jul 15, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deja Foxx win the Democratic Primary for the Arizona's 7th congressional district special election?$1.00Jul 15, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$1.00May 18, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 12–18%?$1.00May 7, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 6–12%?$1.00May 7, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$1.00May 7, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay?$1.10May 1, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.64May 1, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMFear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?$0.00Apr 30, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY1,200+ Measles cases in U.S. before June?$2.00Apr 29, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$2.32Apr 22, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$1.00Apr 21, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?$2.00Apr 19, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?$1.76Apr 19, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEM700+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?$9.17Apr 12, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMYoon out as president of South Korea before April?$1.32Apr 1, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY700+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?$3.00Mar 28, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY700+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?$1.00Mar 28, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$1.00Mar 26, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$1.00Mar 23, 10:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 23:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".