Lucky-Dragon
0xebda54690524d77fd8319786086108d4eadb5208
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
4000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$620.00
$20.00
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
707 shares @ 37.5¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$349.98
$84.98
- YES
Will Jamal Musiala score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
208 shares @ 95.9¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$154.25
$-45.75
- YES
Will Rafael Leão score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
204 shares @ 97.9¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$134.85
$-65.15
- YES
Will Vitinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
102 shares @ 97.8¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.23
$-44.77
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.89
$-71.11
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
1877 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
1863 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
1461 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-241.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Leão score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$200.13May 30, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.07May 30, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamal Musiala score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$200.24May 30, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$203.60May 29, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$58.34May 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$337.80May 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$224.26May 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.5KMay 23, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$265.00May 18, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$100.00May 17, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$500.00May 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$300.00May 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$139.10Mar 11, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$122.77Mar 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$100.00Mar 10, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$101.19Mar 10, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$107.00Mar 10, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$201.00Mar 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$200.00Mar 10, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$52.05Mar 6, 23:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $177.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 18:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".