Red-Copyright
0xebe0393882654e6bd6159cbc38263b78c7ff274c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-231.82
Realised
$7.27
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 28?
339 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 28?
280 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on March 28?
240 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 28?
234 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 28?
230 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 28?
230 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 28?
223 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 28?
220 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 29?
219 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 28?
211 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 80°F or higher on March 28?$0.88Mar 29, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 29?$1.64Mar 29, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 28?$38.75Mar 29, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on March 28?$65.00Mar 29, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 28?$80.82Mar 29, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?$239.98Mar 29, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 29?$5.50Mar 29, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 29?$0.64Mar 29, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?$1.63Mar 29, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?$2.07Mar 29, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?$2.15Mar 29, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 29?$1.46Mar 28, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?$1.44Mar 28, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?$1.52Mar 28, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?$1.99Mar 28, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 29?$0.36Mar 28, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 29?$1.82Mar 28, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 29?$1.76Mar 28, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?$0.44Mar 28, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?$0.27Mar 28, 23:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 21:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.