0xebe0e2a9dbd473c9fe71710a57f245feee7dce52
0xebe0e2a9dbd473c9fe71710a57f245feee7dce52
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$48.09
Total PnL
$-2.80
Realised
$1.24
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 13?
25 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$25.15
$0.42
- NO
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-02-08?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$21.84
$1.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 12?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$1.10
$0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on February 11?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 66°F or higher on February 11?
28 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 44°F or higher on February 11?
21 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.29
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 9PM ET
12 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 12?
12 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or higher on February 12?
10 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or below on February 11?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 66°F or higher on February 11?$0.00Feb 13, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on February 11?$0.00Feb 13, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 12?$0.00Feb 13, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-02-08?$0.00Feb 13, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 13?$0.00Feb 13, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 13?$0.00Feb 13, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 66°F or higher on February 11?$0.00Feb 13, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on February 11?$0.00Feb 13, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 12?$0.00Feb 13, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-02-08?$0.00Feb 13, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 13?$0.00Feb 13, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 13?$0.00Feb 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 68°F or higher on February 13?$9.82Feb 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 13?$1.40Feb 13, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 66°F or higher on February 11?$0.00Feb 13, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on February 11?$0.00Feb 13, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 12?$0.00Feb 13, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-02-08?$0.00Feb 13, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 13?$0.00Feb 13, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 13?$0.00Feb 13, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $0.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 13:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.