Foolhardy-Casement
0xebe55c23278646fdced9fa6911ec249c7fc11966
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$8.06
Total PnL
$-10.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
8 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$8.06
$2.18
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before August?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$6.00Apr 3, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$2.00Apr 3, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$2.00Apr 3, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$3.09Apr 2, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$2.00Apr 2, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.00Apr 2, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.19Mar 31, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$3.00Mar 31, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$12.38Mar 31, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$9.32Mar 31, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$9.33Mar 29, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$9.33Mar 29, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$4.02Mar 29, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$2.00Mar 29, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$2.12Mar 29, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$2.00Mar 29, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLPengu above $0.05 on November 30?$7.19Oct 31, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPengu above $0.05 on November 30?$7.87Oct 16, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$3.50Oct 16, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?$4.37Oct 16, 22:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 18:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".