Legitimate-Spatula
0xebe6a557a13689e4ec4b886b71788f618acea166
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
3816 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-954.11
- YES
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
444 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
375 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-136.85
- YES
Will the Conservatives win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?
299 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
260 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the Conservatives win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Conservatives win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election?
146 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
74 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$3.8KFeb 28, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?$0.00Jan 9, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$1.5KJan 8, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservatives win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election?$144.91Jan 8, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$726.27Jan 8, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$606.84Apr 29, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?$0.00Apr 29, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?$0.00Apr 29, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?$0.00Apr 29, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?$0.00Apr 29, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$337.12Apr 24, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$180.00Apr 8, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$40.00Apr 8, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?$100.00Apr 8, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?$40.00Apr 3, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$100.00Apr 3, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$100.00Apr 3, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?$150.00Apr 3, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$200.00Apr 3, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?$40.00Apr 3, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $315.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 18:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.