Icky-Nun
0xebe6d42fbbd15b89ef9af70e459dd05e20679278
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.3K
Total PnL
$-380.4K
Realised
$-3.7K
Win rate
44%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
4992 shares @ 60.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$4.0K
$938.54
- ATLANTA BRAVES
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
6000 shares @ 55.8¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$3.3K
$-15.27
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
3500 shares @ 49.6¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.5K
$-212.50
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.5K
$15.00
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.5K
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
99999 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
64226 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26304 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-270.54
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17377 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-228.49
- CINCINNATI REDS
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
15000 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.75Jul 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.95Jul 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.70Jul 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$3.80Jul 28, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.00Jul 28, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.95Jul 28, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$10.00Jul 28, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$4.70Jul 28, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$4.70Jul 28, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$10.00Jul 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.25Jul 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$4.50Jul 28, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$4.45Jul 28, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$15.00Jul 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.08Jul 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.17Jul 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$3.95Jul 28, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$3.90Jul 28, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.45Jul 28, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.35Jul 28, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
66/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
32 closed markets, 44% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
$5.4K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.