Flamboyant-Maracas
0xebfa69e0c14d2649a1158218f02a494e13d7b4d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on February 16?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on February 18?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.60 on January 24?
136 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$1.00Feb 28, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01?$1.00Feb 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?$1.00Feb 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-28?$1.00Feb 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28?$1.00Feb 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?$1.00Feb 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warner Bros (WBD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Feb 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?$1.00Feb 23, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?$2.22Feb 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 17, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?$1.00Feb 17, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026?$1.00Feb 16, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on February 18?$1.00Feb 16, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on February 16?$1.00Feb 15, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 16?$1.00Feb 15, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on February 18?$1.00Feb 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?$1.00Feb 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21?$1.00Feb 15, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 60°F or higher on February 8?$7.50Feb 12, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 60°F or higher on February 8?$1.00Feb 6, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 13:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".