Pale-Smelting
0xebfc969ae61990084ca04f2f7b34c63153b2db13
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
778 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 16?$15.15Jan 7, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 16?$15.00Dec 16, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMFortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score$1.56Dec 16, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Dec 7, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Dec 7, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Dec 7, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?$1.00Dec 6, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score$1.00Dec 6, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$6.67Dec 6, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1.00Dec 6, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1.00Dec 6, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1.00Dec 6, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1.00Dec 6, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2.00Dec 5, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Preußen Münster vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?$2.00Dec 5, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2025-12-05?$2.00Dec 5, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.00Dec 5, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.00Dec 5, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.00Dec 5, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.00Dec 5, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $2.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".