Outstanding-Discourse
0xec002e03d404ca0cb9c5d2baa954482b30ba4301
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$155.84
Total PnL
$-1.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
101 shares @ 96.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.49
$-1.67
- YES
Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?
50 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$48.70
$0.15
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?
12 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.66
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.70Jun 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$0.99Jun 13, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?$33.98Jun 11, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by June 30?$49.00Jun 10, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat?$1.02Jun 5, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$49.70Jun 3, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$49.10May 30, 18:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $18.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.