Reasonable-Bolero
0xec09b990736dc55a44984f170e5ed2e830011331
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$79.43
Total PnL
$-276.51
Realised
$9.45
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$27.86
$17.86
- NO
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$16.94
$-3.06
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
352 shares @ 7.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.89
$-11.11
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
1077 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$10.77
$-26.23
- YES
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
950 shares @ 6.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.97
$-55.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
186 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
135 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
101 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?$20.51Jun 14, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$5.25Jun 14, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$5.24Jun 7, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$5.24Jun 2, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$5.24Jun 2, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$7.00May 27, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$10.45May 26, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.00May 23, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.06May 19, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.06May 19, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.07May 19, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$3.18May 19, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.07May 19, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$11.60May 19, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.05May 19, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.05May 19, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.06May 19, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.00May 19, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$11.11May 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.06May 19, 14:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.