Inconsequential-Jacket
0xec0c615f466277c8a3593f8b1c7c5585db868589
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$2.8K
Win rate
48%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 14?
1664 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-175.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 14?
1664 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-611.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 51°F or below on March 8?
1647 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on March 8?
1647 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 16?
1436 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on February 16?
1436 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on February 16?
1435 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on March 8?
1422 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on March 8?
1397 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 16?
1372 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.38Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.07Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$486.39Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.53Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$408.57Jun 11, 11:24 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.48Jun 3, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?$377.86Jun 2, 04:20 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.83Jun 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.93Jun 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.36May 31, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.60May 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.73May 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.32May 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.79May 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.78May 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.42May 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.31May 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.67May 23, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.86May 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.20May 21, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
48% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
33 closed markets, 48% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $139.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.