Knowledgeable-Reconsideration
0xec0dc4ceeece67f018cd5ce07cda3f7fc44cff4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$101.34
Total PnL
$-57.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
6 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of November?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$6.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
6 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$6.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
5 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$5.19
$0.19
- YES
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
5 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$5.10
$0.10
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
5 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.06
$0.06
- YES
Will NVIDIA say "Gaming" during earnings call?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?$5.00Nov 17, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$4.00Nov 17, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$6.00Nov 17, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$4.00Nov 17, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by November 30?$5.00Nov 17, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) close at <$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$5.00Nov 17, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix reach $147 in November?$4.00Nov 17, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at <$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$6.00Nov 17, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?$5.00Nov 17, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Walmart say "Tariff" during earnings call?$4.00Nov 17, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir reach $249 in November?$4.00Nov 17, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir reach $264 in November?$4.00Nov 17, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA say "Gaming" during earnings call?$5.00Nov 17, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of November?$6.00Nov 17, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$4.00Nov 17, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$5.00Nov 17, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google reach $380 in November?$4.00Nov 17, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Nov 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in November?$5.00Nov 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$5.00Nov 17, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $43.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 10:41 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".