Crisp-Belligerency
0xec104ac88ac5d120b976dd83cee1f77eb481bbc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
39225 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.8K
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
28448 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?
13693 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-893.09
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
10042 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
4545 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?
2780 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-107.30
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?
2225 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-135.73
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1187 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.34
- YES
Trump criminalizes desecrating the American flag before August?
92 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.58
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
12 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$200.00Feb 23, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$4.8KFeb 23, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.1KFeb 23, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.5KJan 11, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 11, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.11Jan 11, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$120.00Jan 11, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.50Jan 11, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.50Jan 11, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.50Jan 11, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.50Jan 11, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.50Jan 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.50Jan 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.53Jan 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.50Jan 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.50Jan 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.50Jan 11, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.50Jan 11, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.50Jan 11, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.50Jan 11, 19:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $319.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 19:14 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".