Sophisticated-Arm
0xec1f6d433c37421963ba00cc07d55b40647a489c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$16.63
Total PnL
$-2.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture Rivnopillia by December 31?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$10.31
$0.31
- NO
Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$2.11
$0.11
- YES
NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
2 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Will between 215 and 216 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Harvard international students ban ended before August?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 17?$1.43Nov 14, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 16?$277.26Nov 14, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNASA Escapade launch by December 31?$2.00Nov 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rivnopillia by December 31?$10.00Nov 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 16?$276.43Nov 13, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 17?$288.30Nov 13, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 17?$290.02Nov 13, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill between 215 and 216 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?$2.00Nov 13, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?$1.14Nov 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?$1.00Oct 4, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?$2.00Oct 4, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Mykolaivka before July?$2.25Oct 4, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?$2.33Oct 4, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Mykolaivka before July?$2.00Jun 8, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?$2.00Jun 8, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarvard international students ban ended before August?$1.00Jun 8, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?$2.00Jun 8, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% in 2025?$1.01Jun 8, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?$0.00Jun 8, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?$1.11Jun 8, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $24.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 02:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".