Misty-Institute
0xec2781034f3b2418b95126f4fc57f2651740eefd
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$69.05
Total PnL
$6.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 4?
30 shares @ 92.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$30.00
$2.19
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.00
$3.80
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$10.00
$0.05
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.05
$0.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$10.00Apr 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $60 in March?$10.00Apr 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$20.00Apr 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$30.00Apr 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$40.00Apr 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?$40.00Apr 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$60.00Apr 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by March 31?$70.00Apr 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$113.73Apr 1, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$29.64Apr 1, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$28.50Apr 1, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?$9.10Apr 1, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.00Apr 1, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.00Apr 1, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.00Apr 1, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?$30.00Apr 1, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?$9.03Mar 31, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?$37.40Mar 31, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$26.10Mar 31, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$29.40Mar 30, 23:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $17.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.