Grubby-Winner
0xec280323f05a542c7adc5f5c3472f3c6df7720a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$54.99
Total PnL
$-135.01
Realised
$2.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.93
$0.05
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.26
$0.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 22?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$9.80
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on March 22?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.85
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
5 shares @ 54.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$2.25
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- NO
Will CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
112 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$0.00
$-64.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 22?$9.78Mar 21, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on March 22?$5.00Mar 21, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$14.78Mar 21, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$9.97Feb 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$16.60Feb 28, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$19.88Feb 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.40Feb 28, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.20Feb 28, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.75Feb 28, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$50.00Feb 28, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$49.80Jan 8, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?$784.00Jan 8, 09:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.04Jan 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?$28.68Jan 7, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?$362.12Jan 7, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?$396.40Jan 7, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?$76.00Dec 30, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Nov 1, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.30Nov 1, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Nov 1, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $183.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 13:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.