Wallet digest

active

Activity score

53/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.95

Total PnL

$-93.50

Realised

$1.13

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 41

YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028
$0.95
$-1.05
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
237 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
NO
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026
$0.00
$-3.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Travis Scott's album 'JACKBOYS 2' have over 250k sales in its first week?
124 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$0.00
$-10.00
YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 10:15 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.76Feb 20, 10:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 10:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 10:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.00Feb 13, 10:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 17:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 16:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 16:43 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.46Feb 12, 16:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 16:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 15:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 15:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 14:02 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.43Feb 11, 12:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 10:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 10:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 09:24 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.96Feb 6, 09:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 15:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 15:12 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry24 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk69 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 39
Avg trade size: $2.05
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 26, 11:10 UTC
Last active: Feb 20, 10:15 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 04:46:44 UTC·src:Polymarket Data