Pessimistic-Nicety
0xec34ed75af59acceb6a08fdeea6c3952d8fd4c7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$73.24
Total PnL
$-394.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?
73 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$73.24
$2.86
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 27?
192 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?
182 shares @ 98.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-178.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 28?
170 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will Solana reach $100 May 4-10?
157 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $244 Week of April 6 2026?
116 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?
113 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 11?
112 shares @ 95.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-107.30
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24?
109 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 6AM ET
98 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?$70.38Jul 2, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 25?$71.90Jul 2, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 25?$68.02Jun 25, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 27?$3.28May 27, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$3.74May 23, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 12?$67.95May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 12?$64.96May 11, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?$66.74May 11, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?$0.07May 10, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?$64.67May 10, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 May 4-10?$1.69May 10, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 16?$76.81Apr 30, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on January 30?$0.00Apr 21, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 19?$1.94Apr 19, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 16?$75.12Apr 15, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 15?$2.11Apr 14, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 20?$0.00Apr 13, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $244 Week of April 6 2026?$3.01Apr 10, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$1.14Mar 31, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 30?$0.00Mar 31, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $37.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 05:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.