Anxious-Disease
0xec3afbd4bc98e96cf894584dfeb2d4c5c610f19f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$159.71
Total PnL
$-72.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $220-$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?
160 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$159.71
$0.71
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 23-29?
914 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 29?
767 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 March 23-29?
700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on February 23?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 29?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 29?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 24?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $220-$225 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?$159.00Jul 10, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?$158.16Jul 10, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?$158.01Jun 30, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of June 22 2026?$158.32Jun 30, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of June 22 2026?$158.01Jun 26, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$7.00Jun 26, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$13.21Jun 26, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or below on May 31?$14.23Jun 26, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 2?$124.12Jun 26, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 2?$124.01Jun 1, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$2.85Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.22Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$113.11Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$113.00May 31, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$113.23May 31, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$113.02May 30, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or below on May 31?$14.22May 30, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$127.38May 30, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$127.03May 28, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoo Dong-soo win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$13.20May 28, 06:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $106.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.