Frozen-Type
0xec425fc2e1c91908ae2ebddb4d519ef90ef45ffb
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$840.39
Total PnL
$-661.74
Realised
$-10.61
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 29?
70 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$69.86
$2.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 29?
70 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$69.33
$1.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on July 29?
70 shares @ 87.3¢·now 93.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$65.52
$4.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 29?
50 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$48.25
$2.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 30?
50 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$47.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 29?
50 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$47.25
$-0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 30?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$46.50
$1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 30?
50 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$46.25
$-0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 29?
50 shares @ 84.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$46.25
$3.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 30?
50 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$45.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 29?$4.52Jul 29, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 29?$18.32Jul 29, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 30?$26.40Jul 29, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 29?$1.14Jul 29, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 29?$0.41Jul 29, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 29?$0.18Jul 29, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 29?$0.33Jul 29, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 29?$0.27Jul 29, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 29?$0.20Jul 29, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 30?$23.99Jul 29, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 30?$18.60Jul 29, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 31?$6.69Jul 29, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 30?$27.90Jul 29, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 30?$19.85Jul 29, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 30?$46.00Jul 29, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 30?$8.39Jul 29, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 30?$16.80Jul 29, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 29?$22.37Jul 29, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 30?$6.79Jul 29, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 28?$50.00Jul 29, 04:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 22:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.