Determined-Mist
0xec44acc3a10f6cc813141d886a4c1e3d58de9b7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$265.69
Total PnL
$-494.04
Realised
$56.93
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 75.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$116.25
$3.25
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
70 shares @ 81.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.85
$2.60
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
200 shares @ 22.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$56.98
$12.98
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
35 shares @ 60.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.05
$-5.95
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.17
$-0.03
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
15 shares @ 70.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.39
$-1.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
500 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
400 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
400 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.27Jun 6, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$12.79Jun 6, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.48Jun 6, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$2.82Jun 6, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$3.90Jun 6, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$4.80Jun 6, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$5.74Jun 6, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.84Jun 6, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.12Jun 6, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$2.65Jun 6, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.16Jun 6, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.28Jun 6, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$3.20Jun 6, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$2.14Jun 6, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.90Jun 6, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.30Jun 6, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.44Jun 6, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$8.37Jun 6, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.60Jun 6, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.30Jun 6, 00:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".