Giddy-Self
0xec49bd0f31414effa1107091cedb319e37785975
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$9.81
Total PnL
$-0.00
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?
15 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$4.42
$-0.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.30T and $1.40T on June 30?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.03
$-0.10
- YES
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$2.36
$0.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.30T and $1.40T on June 30?$3.13Jun 20, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?$6.38Jun 20, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?$4.50Jun 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$2.60Jun 20, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$2.80Jun 20, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$4.00Jun 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$4.60Jun 20, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?$7.80Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.92Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$4.40Jun 19, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$4.80Jun 19, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?$3.45Jun 19, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?$7.00Jun 19, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$1.98Jun 19, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$5.64Jun 18, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$4.50Jun 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$1.50Jun 18, 11:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 15:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.