Lustrous-Sleet-Disposal
0xec4d974242de841e6bb3816953fa3694d2580707
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.2K
Realised
$-905.18
Win rate
7%
151 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- XINYU WANG
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang
880 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-299.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
788 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-47.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
692 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-215.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
583 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YUFEI REN
Contrexeville: Alice Tubello vs Yufei Ren
578 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
538 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
523 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
523 shares @ 62.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-327.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
517 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
488 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-260.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSwedish Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Thomas Faurel AND Braunschweig: Jan Choinski vs Hugo Gaston AND Wimbledon Juniors, Boys: Jordan Lee vs Cruz Hewitt AND Will England win?$4.99Jul 12, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$10.44Jul 12, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$10.45Jul 12, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$21.02Jul 12, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$34.58Jul 12, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$10.36Jul 12, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$20.49Jul 12, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$20.62Jul 12, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$42.25Jul 12, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$30.61Jul 12, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$10.00Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$5.00Jul 12, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$5.17Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$2.59Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$5.17Jul 11, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$10.00Jul 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$2.59Jul 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$7.82Jul 11, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$5.00Jul 11, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$2.94Jul 11, 23:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 151 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
151 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $11.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 06:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 151 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.