Buzzing-Jockey
0xec4db36d5fe17f0a4933c04aeee70d5a629a087e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-212.37
Realised
$-15.23
Win rate
0%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 10?
259 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 6?
210 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on May 17?
63 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 12?
30 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 7?
27 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 13?
24 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?
22 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 16?
19 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 9?
16 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 20?
16 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.44Jun 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Future release an album in 2026? $0.40Jun 24, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Future release an album in 2026? $1.70Jun 24, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Future release an album in 2026? $0.61Jun 24, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Future release an album in 2026? $34.00Jun 24, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$7.44Jun 24, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$7.80Jun 24, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$6.46Jun 24, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$6.08Jun 24, 08:00 UTC
- REWARD$18.26Jun 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$38.15Jun 23, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$39.00Jun 23, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$4.61Jun 23, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$5.02Jun 23, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.30Jun 23, 15:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.00Jun 23, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$56.08Jun 23, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$31.80Jun 23, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$35.00Jun 23, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$3.51Jun 23, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 47 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
47 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $16.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.