Leafy-Standoff
0xec5ba28830995eee47ab12edbf0524dcc4fa693f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-85.91
Realised
$-2.92
Win rate
0%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 3?
491 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SPURS
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
158 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?
46 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 1?
16 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 6?
10 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
8 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?$3.03Aug 1, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?$36.82Jul 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 26?$14.75Jul 26, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 26?$13.08Jul 25, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 24?$27.44Jul 25, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 25?$10.87Jul 25, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 25?$10.04Jul 24, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 24?$23.19Jul 22, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 22?$22.52Jul 22, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 22?$22.07Jul 21, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 21?$22.96Jul 21, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 21?$20.13Jul 20, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 18?$19.74Jul 19, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 18?$17.12Jul 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?$18.18Jul 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?$15.13Jul 16, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?$15.94Jul 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?$14.09Jul 12, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?$14.12Jul 12, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 12?$13.05Jul 11, 15:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.