Starry-Flatboat
0xec62d23eff1a957d02293c5475d4b7a52f8d9191
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$164.38
Total PnL
$-9.4K
Realised
$17.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29?
94 shares @ 42.4¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$51.00
$11.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 30?
89 shares @ 39.4¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$34.63
$-0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 30?
82 shares @ 36.4¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$30.93
$0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 30?
99 shares @ 25.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$19.34
$-5.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 29?
149 shares @ 20.1¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.45
$-19.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 29?
183 shares @ 16.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.04
$-19.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 29?
84 shares @ 17.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$7.15
$-7.85
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 29?
125 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.69
$-44.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 28?
112 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.06
$-19.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 28?
107 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.05
$-34.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 30?$1.91Jul 29, 01:32 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.15Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.06Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$61.65Jul 28, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?$9.05Jul 28, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?$2.16Jul 28, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 30?$15.47Jul 28, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29?$4.22Jul 28, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 30?$10.00Jul 28, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 30?$15.00Jul 28, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 28?$20.40Jul 28, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 28?$34.09Jul 28, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 28?$145.74Jul 28, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 28?$58.48Jul 28, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$15.17Jul 28, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 29?$10.23Jul 28, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 30?$11.76Jul 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 30?$3.72Jul 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 29?$9.30Jul 28, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 29?$6.04Jul 28, 21:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.