Uniform-Halibut
0xec664fdbc9ead0f1c444ac2916cf2cfdaa7be54c
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
177 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
169 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
43 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Pistons
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 5?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- HEAT
Heat vs. Magic
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.32Jan 8, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.39Jan 8, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Dec 6, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Pistons$1.00Dec 6, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 5, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Magic$1.00Dec 5, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?$2.00Dec 5, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 17:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.