Amused-Grandpa
0xec763e57b016d0cf5231ad5a5929827ba9eaf9f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$6.45
Realised
$38.89
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1164 shares @ 91.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$95.52
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
51 shares @ 79.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.28
$10.62
- NO
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
22 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$22.00
$3.08
- NO
Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
20 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$20.00
$6.40
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.17
$2.00
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.53
$0.37
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
1 shares @ 75.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$1.00
$0.24
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.71
$-0.46
- NO
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?
67 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-48.24
- NO
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?
33 shares @ 67.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-22.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$67.92Feb 19, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Feb 19, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$4.77Feb 19, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ashton Jeanty be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$26.00Feb 19, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMApple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?$36.16Feb 19, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$532.09Jan 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$2.91Jan 21, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$15.93Jan 21, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$445.48Jan 21, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEM5kt meteor strike in 2025?$0.56Jan 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$0.71Jan 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$0.92Jan 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$0.97Jan 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK end any vaccine approvals by December 31?$1.00Jan 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWeed rescheduled in 2025?$1.70Jan 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?$2.01Jan 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMLisa Cook federally charged in 2025?$2.29Jan 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 5 released by December 31?$2.71Jan 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ return to Binance by December 31?$3.77Jan 21, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$4.35Jan 21, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $244.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 14:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.