Impressive-Hoof
0xec7c55fb1814698621b8fc48fe12efe2025e7ad4
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$64.64
Total PnL
$-26.76
Realised
$2.33
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?
10 shares @ 45.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$6.05
$1.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$4.97
$2.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 26?
51 shares @ 11.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$4.86
$-1.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 26?
6 shares @ 35.4¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$4.17
$1.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 27?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$3.95
$-0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 27?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$3.50
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 26?
5 shares @ 18.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$3.08
$2.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 27?
29 shares @ 12.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.61
$-1.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 26?
5 shares @ 15.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$2.15
$1.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 26?
5 shares @ 15.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$1.95
$1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 26?$0.87Jun 26, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 26?$0.13Jun 26, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?$2.25Jun 26, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?$2.25Jun 26, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 27?$1.16Jun 26, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 27?$0.49Jun 26, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 27?$1.65Jun 26, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 27?$0.66Jun 26, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 27?$1.65Jun 26, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 27?$2.89Jun 26, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 27?$1.70Jun 26, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 27?$0.49Jun 26, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 27?$0.49Jun 26, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 27?$0.90Jun 26, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 27?$0.43Jun 26, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 27?$3.87Jun 26, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 25?$0.00Jun 26, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 25?$0.00Jun 26, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 25?$0.00Jun 26, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 25?$0.00Jun 26, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
91% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.