Tangible-Faith
0xec843154ffce8554affe85bfb41b4d1c7ec2d6dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-362.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2025 meeting?
1001 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-249.00
- YES
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in May?
466 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the US add 200k or more jobs in May?
273 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?
100 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-53.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2025 meeting?$249.00Nov 5, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$923.09Sep 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$849.24Sep 13, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?$53.00Jun 8, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add 200k or more jobs in May?$20.00Jun 6, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add less than 50k jobs in May?$20.00Jun 6, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the May 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?$20.00Jun 6, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?$17.44Jun 6, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMArsenal wins the Premier League?$0.00May 18, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City wins the Premier League?$0.00May 18, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$159.05May 18, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMNegative GDP growth in Q1 2025?$0.00May 2, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.1%?$0.00May 2, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2025 unemployment rate be between 4.1%?$20.00Apr 4, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$100.00Mar 7, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill 200-250k jobs be added in February?$0.00Mar 7, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill less than 100k jobs be added in February?$83.61Mar 7, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 150-200k jobs be added in February?$166.67Mar 7, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in Q1 2025?$200.00Mar 7, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 200-250k jobs be added in February?$10.00Mar 7, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $104.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 21:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.