Wallet profile

Famous-Allowance

0xec8f31976d2a3260a42944cd5498c577162f8df8

activity 30/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-714.2K

Realised

$-219.1K

Win rate

0%

67 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$57.0K

Trades

2

Buy share

100%

Window

Jun 21, 20:30 UTC → Jul 14, 20:19 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $6.2K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

54/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

0% win rate over 67 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

44 live trades, 8 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

67 closed markets, 0% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$11.7K

2 trades

Buy share

100%

Sample

limited

8 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

$9.2K · 16% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?16% of recorded volume$9.2KWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?16% of recorded volume$9.0KWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?14% of recorded volume$8.2K

Profile dimensions

Activity50 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry32 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk44 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
44
Avg trade size
$1.1K
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 18, 22:47 UTC
Last active
Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
Win rate sample
67 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 05:17:45 UTC·src:Polymarket Data