Wallet digest

active

Activity score

70/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-5.2K

Realised

$103.69

Win rate

100%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 37

NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 21?
5408 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025
$0.00
$-6.00
NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?
3647 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
2487 shares @ 50.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026
$0.00
$-1.3K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
1873 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026
$0.00
$-1.2K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
1710 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026
$0.00
$-1.1K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
1123 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026
$0.00
$-492.42
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 5AM ET
1049 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-53.00
NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 22?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025
$0.00
$-3.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.2KMar 28, 15:14 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$113.94Mar 28, 15:08 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$100.00Mar 28, 15:05 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.2KMar 28, 14:48 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.2KMar 28, 14:44 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.2KMar 28, 14:35 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$903.20Mar 28, 14:34 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.1KMar 28, 13:40 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$100.00Mar 28, 13:35 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.2KMar 28, 13:25 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$972.68Mar 28, 13:24 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$1.3KMar 28, 00:35 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$500.00Mar 28, 00:30 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$417.84Mar 28, 00:28 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$300.00Mar 28, 00:27 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.7KMar 28, 00:05 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.3KMar 28, 00:05 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$548.24Mar 27, 23:56 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$470.90Mar 27, 23:55 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$150.96Mar 27, 23:54 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry38 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk61 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $437.11
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 26, 10:45 UTC
Last active: Mar 28, 15:14 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:43:35 UTC·src:Polymarket Data