Modest-Bolt
0xec9ab9548a15736f17a9ad67ea2182dcd0e4dad1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
14385 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
11085 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?
8283 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
3657 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-256.00
- YES
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
1977 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
1297 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?$300.00Jun 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?$200.00Jun 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$219.00Jun 1, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$500.00Jun 1, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$100.00Jun 1, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$400.00Jun 1, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$500.00Jun 1, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?$100.00Jun 1, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?$100.00Jun 1, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?$100.00Jun 1, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?$200.00Jun 1, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?$10.00Jun 1, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?$200.00Jun 1, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?$300.00Jun 1, 20:12 UTC
- REWARD$3.36May 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?$1.3KMay 22, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?$256.00May 22, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$171.65May 22, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$398.10May 22, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.60May 22, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $132.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 22:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.