Handmade-Kind
0xec9f6ba2e1d70e5de3488fb6a1446f66a52621bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$10.93
Total PnL
$-0.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.92
$-0.07
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Gedeo People’s Democratic Party (GPDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?$1.00Jul 22, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMBoston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-3.5)$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$0.00Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.