Fearless-Influx
0xeca8f5f11a6c5f12c7317f37add445a787f7b081
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$119.32
Total PnL
$-144.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?
77 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$77.42
$2.42
- NO
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
42 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$41.89
$1.89
- YES
Will James Harden lead the NBA in Assists?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in Assists?
2781 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-8.34
- YES
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
136 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
129 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
100 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-67.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?
90 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?
56 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?$75.00Mar 1, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by June 30, 2026?$40.00Mar 1, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?$40.36Feb 6, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMSeeker FDV above $600M one day after launch?$16.30Jan 27, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$22.00Jan 17, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?$40.00Jan 17, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?$3.00Jan 17, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeeker FDV above $600M one day after launch?$15.00Jan 17, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.99Jan 11, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$67.34Jan 11, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$60.00Nov 30, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$15.00Nov 30, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$67.00Sep 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Sep 29, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?$6.33Aug 18, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in Assists?$1.64Mar 30, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in Assists?$0.01Mar 30, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Harden lead the NBA in Assists?$12.00Mar 29, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in Assists?$10.00Mar 29, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 24?$1.50Mar 24, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $36.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 00:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".