0xecab4ff10ecee3e0e4544908c95855ce331a5b8e
0xecab4ff10ecee3e0e4544908c95855ce331a5b8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$92.65
Total PnL
$3.22
Realised
$-3.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 24?
42 shares @ 43.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$39.43
$20.83
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 25?
38 shares @ 46.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$18.99
$1.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 24?
50 shares @ 22.1¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$10.73
$-0.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 24?
23 shares @ 35.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$7.31
$-0.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 24?
17 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.47
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 24?
6 shares @ 37.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$3.61
$1.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 24?
22 shares @ 24.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$2.76
$-2.54
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 24?
48 shares @ 28.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$2.66
$-11.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 24?
12 shares @ 29.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.67
$-1.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 24?$5.78Jul 23, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 24?$1.20Jul 23, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 24?$10.30Jul 23, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 24?$8.42Jul 23, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 24?$0.76Jul 23, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 24?$0.54Jul 23, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 24?$0.06Jul 23, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 24?$16.20Jul 23, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 24?$3.00Jul 23, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 24?$6.91Jul 23, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?$11.59Jul 23, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?$45.32Jul 23, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 23?$18.74Jul 23, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 23?$19.05Jul 23, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 23, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 23, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 23, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 23, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 23, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 23, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 05:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 21:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.