0xecae137e3caa46bd656d5535053405de1dfce682
0xecae137e3caa46bd656d5535053405de1dfce682
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$41.90
Total PnL
$-58.43
Realised
$-0.80
Win rate
6%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- LUCIE HAVLICKOVA
ITF W50 Prague Women: Lucie Havlickova vs Victoria Bervid
4 shares @ 90.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$4.43
$0.43
- NO
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.08
$0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 18?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- JAN KUMSTAT
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPrague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat$1.05Aug 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Dimitar Kisimov vs Denis Klok$1.06Aug 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoehampton: Michael Geerts vs Billy Blaydes$1.05Aug 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Dimitar Kisimov vs Denis Klok$1.05Aug 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand vs. Singapore: O/U 2.5$1.03Aug 18, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Lidia Encheva$5.26Aug 18, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?$1.05Aug 18, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK: Team to Advance$1.03Aug 18, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$2.08Aug 18, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat$1.03Aug 18, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.06Aug 18, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF W50 Prague Women: Lucie Havlickova vs Victoria Bervid$1.01Aug 18, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF W50 Prague Women: Lucie Havlickova vs Victoria Bervid$1.01Aug 18, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF W50 Prague Women: Lucie Havlickova vs Victoria Bervid$1.01Aug 18, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF W50 Prague Women: Lucie Havlickova vs Victoria Bervid$1.01Aug 18, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMITF M15 Arad Men: Federico Valle vs Alexandru Hebhang Balan$6.67Aug 18, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF M25 Santander Men: Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Aren Baybars$1.04Aug 18, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMPrague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod$1.64Aug 18, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSion: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Marvin Moeller$1.04Aug 18, 12:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 48 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
48 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.