Purple-Buck
0xecb5271853d083c561792d1bc4be8a555ce672d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.1K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
50000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
30001 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-679.43
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
30000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-242.97
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
30000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-222.99
- ALEX DE MINAUR
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul
3595 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
3289 shares @ 88.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- DOMINIKA PODHAJECKA
ITF Gaborone: Dominika Podhajecka vs Marilouise Van Zyl
1246 shares @ 79.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-991.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 6?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- ANA GIRALDI REQUENA
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Dana Charintceva
923 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-668.70
- HARRIET DART
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart
914 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-520.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$531.32Jul 18, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$476.75Jul 18, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$776.63Jul 18, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.51Jul 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$50.58Jul 15, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$51.16Jul 15, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$983.19Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$100.05Jul 14, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$100.05Jul 14, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$100.22Jul 14, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$100.45Jul 14, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$301.76Jul 14, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$201.17Jul 14, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$2.28Jul 14, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$15.31Jul 14, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$15.36Jul 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$13.08Jul 12, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$13.10Jul 12, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$122.32Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$62.35Jul 12, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 29, 03:30 UTC → May 29, 03:28 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$6.1K@100¢May 29, 03:28 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
$6.1K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $184.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 20:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 23:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.