Fine-Peace
0xecbbfb10e58ee8d564446142db9b1aa9f85ba8c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
178
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.1K
Realised
$-65.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 178- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?
615 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-393.53
- YES
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?
310 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-133.10
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
223 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-127.05
- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?
220 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-81.23
- YES
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals
200 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
- NO
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
162 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-110.75
- YES
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-26?
162 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-85.10
- SAN DIEGO FC
Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)
157 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.28
- YES
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals
156 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?
150 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neftçi PFK win on 2026-07-22?$54.72Jul 22, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$90.21Jul 19, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$51.44Jul 19, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$54.09Jul 19, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$94.44Jul 18, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$52.17Jul 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$51.20Jul 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$112.49Jul 15, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$129.78Jul 11, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spain (-1.5)$91.95Jul 10, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$38.23Jul 10, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$29.69Jul 10, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$61.04Jul 10, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-10?$90.91Jul 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-10?$50.67Jul 10, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$201.30Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$50.58Jul 9, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$74.65Jul 9, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Qairat FK (-1.5)$64.39Jul 8, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Qairat FK (-2.5)$36.96Jul 8, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $50.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 01:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.